Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has converted 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a good one for attempts from downtown; when the Cavaliers are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.0).
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has made 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

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