Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this season.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The matchup against the Hawks is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (1.7).
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has sunk 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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