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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bam Adebayo has scored 25.2 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.2 more than he's scored in all games this season at home.
  • Bam Adebayo has played 34.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when Jokic is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have totaled an enormous 1.0 treys per game (97th percentile).
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bam Adebayo has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (91st percentile).
  • The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

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