Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has converted an impressive 8.6 shots made from the field per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.9 rate last season.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has sunk 11.1% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league.
Bam Adebayo has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The Miami Heat rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pacers is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA over the last 9 games (1.4).
The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when Turner is away from his home court and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a mere 48.6% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile).

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