Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has put up 4.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 86th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.
The Suns have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo rates in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production across the board.

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