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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Assists
Player Prop - 11/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bam Adebayo has tallied 3.6 assists per game playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
  • The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
  • The Heat will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bam Adebayo has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).
  • Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance for all stats.

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