Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 2:51 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has tallied 5.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Bam Adebayo has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production across the board.

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