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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Assists
Player Prop - 3/28/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has put up 4.2 assists per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's put up in all games this season on the road.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.

The Raptors have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Raptors have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production for all stats.

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