Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.2 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 82nd percentile.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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