Ayo Dosunmu Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Ayo Dosunmu

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ayo Dosunmu has successfully made 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Ayo Dosunmu has been on the court for 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Ayo Dosunmu has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 21.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court.
Ayo Dosunmu will likely see an increase in efficiency across the board considering having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Bulls have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The matchup against Boston is a tough one for field goals; when the Celtics are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.1%).
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Boston Celtics).
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).