Ayo Dosunmu Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Ayo Dosunmu

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ayo Dosunmu has successfully made 7.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Ayo Dosunmu has successfully made 50.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 14.1% higher than he's made from three in all games this season while playing on the road.
Ayo Dosunmu has tallied 38.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 10.1 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
The Chicago Bulls have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's subpar 112.0 points per game measures as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 24.8% on threes (weakest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Ayo Dosunmu will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.