Ayo Dosunmu Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Ayo Dosunmu

NBA · Player Props

Ayo Dosunmu

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ayo Dosunmu has attempted 7.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Ayo Dosunmu has played 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 1stbest in in the league with 17.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Chicago Bulls's feeble 109.7 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league this year.
Ayo Dosunmu has attempted and missed 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's missed over the course of the season while playing on the road.
Ayo Dosunmu will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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