Ayo Dosunmu Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Ayo Dosunmu

NBA · Player Props

Ayo Dosunmu

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-101/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing at home, the Raptors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ayo Dosunmu has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.5% more than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for threes; opposing clubs have averaged the 8th-most three-pointers per game in the league over the last 10 games (14.0).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a colossal 23.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).
Ayo Dosunmu will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production across the board.

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