Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has attempted 9.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.1 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
The Magic have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 8 games away from their home city, which should raise possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 90.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.4% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves lands in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against Orlando is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).
The Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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