Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 10/30/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Oct 30, 2024

Updated Oct 30, 2024 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has scored 16.2 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 82nd percentile.
Austin Reaves has averaged 32.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile.
With respect to offense, the Lakers's fantastic 117.3 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 2.7 free throws per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SGs have notched 12.1 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Austin Reaves will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases player production across the board.

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