Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:15 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves measures in the 80th percentile, totaling an enormous 15.7 points per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Lakers are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Grizzlies have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves has made 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing at home.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one; when the Grizzlies are away from home, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (17.0).
The Lakers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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