Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
The Lakers rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
This year, the other team has totaled 84.9 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, designating this as a tough matchup.
The 4th-quickest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
Austin Reaves has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the Bulls).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Bulls have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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