Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has committed 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (22nd percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 17 games.
This year, opposing teams have shot 33.9% on three-pointers (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 6 games (the 76ers).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has failed to make 5.6 field goals per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.3 mark last year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the 76ers (retaining possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team has attempted a colossal 23.9 foul shots per game over the last 16 games (8th-most in the NBA).
Austin Reaves will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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