Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has attempted 11.0 shots from the field per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.6 rate last season.
Austin Reaves has averaged 1.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
In regard to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 117.2 points per game measures as the 10th-strongest in the league this year.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
While at home, the Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for three-point shots; when the Kings are on the road, opposing teams have posted the 9th-highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (37.2%).
The Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Austin Reaves has converted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.5 rate last season.

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