Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
Austin Reaves has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (25th percentile).
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have averaged 33.6 three attempts per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 2.6 free throws per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been great at getting to the free-throw line: 8th-best in the league this year, tallying 24.5 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 50.5% clip, Austin Reaves's shooting effectiveness has declined this year to 39.0%.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).