Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 7.3 mark, Austin Reaves's points per game have jumped this year to 13.8.
Austin Reaves has made an impressive 51.2% of his shot attempts from the field this season, significantly more than his 42.9 mark last season.
Relative to his full-season mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Austin Reaves's playing time has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games minutes per game.
The Lakers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per home game, Austin Reaves's rate of personal fouls has risen by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 5 games at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year in regard to treys.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to decrease plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.