Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · May 22, 2023

Updated May 22, 2023 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has converted 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Austin Reaves has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
Austin Reaves has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.0% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.8).
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Denver is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (4th-least in the NBA).