Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Austin Reaves has sunk 40.3% of his three-point attempts away from home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Austin Reaves has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Pelicans are playing at home, the other team have put up the 8th-highest three percentage in the league against them this year (36.2%).
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance across the board.

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