Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 4:06 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Austin Reaves has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has failed to make 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's missed from downtown overall this season while on his home court.
This matchup is a good one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have tallied the 6th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (37.0).
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league while traveling this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 24.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (7th-most in the NBA).

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