Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 10:38 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Austin Reaves has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While on the road, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has attempted and missed 2.6 3-point attempts per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's missed from downtown in all games this year at home.
This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; opposing squads have compiled the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league over the last 10 games (40.8%).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a whopping 23.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).