Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 40.3% of his attempts from downtown away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Austin Reaves has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a massive 23.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).
Austin Reaves will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

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