Austin Reaves Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has successfully made 43.5% of his attempts from downtown while at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Austin Reaves has attempted 4.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
While playing on the road, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; the other team have compiled the 4th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (37.1%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league while traveling this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.