Austin Reaves Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-185/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged 7.6 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Austin Reaves has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.
Austin Reaves will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 9 games at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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