Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2026

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · May 11, 2026

Updated May 11, 2026 8:03 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-127/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -144 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 2nd-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.8 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Pistons rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).
The Pistons have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).