Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 7, 2026

Updated May 7, 2026 6:48 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-107/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons check in as the least aggressive offense in the league as the home team this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).