Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · May 3, 2026

Updated May 3, 2026 3:33 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+111/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one; when the Magic are away from home, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (18.9).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Magic, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Pistons have been the least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year with respect to three-point attempts.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.