Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · May 1, 2026

Updated May 1, 2026 6:28 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 1.9 threes per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, resulting in a positive matchup.
The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Magic may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 5.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Pistons.

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