Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Apr 22, 2026

Updated Apr 22, 2026 7:03 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-117/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Orlando is a strong one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (18.9).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Orlando is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.7 foul shots per game this year when the Magic are on the road (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.