Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-129/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out best in in the NBA with 16.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against San Antonio is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the San Antonio Spurs are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the lowest FG% in the league this year (36.0%).
The Pistons have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

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