Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 31, 2024

Updated Jan 1, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 98th percentile for shots taken, averaging 20.1 per game this year.
Relative to last year's 2.5 rate, Anthony Edwards's three-pointers drained have surged this year to 4.0 per game.
Anthony Edwards has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
Anthony Edwards figures to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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