Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 8.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.8 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards has converted a whopping 5.3 foul shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.1 rate last year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a challenging one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have averaged the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.5).
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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