Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has totaled 31.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's totaled in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.1 minutes per game on his home court this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 114.4 points per game comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
In contrast to last year's 4.1 rate, Anthony Edwards's free throws scored have spiked this year to 5.3 per game.
Anthony Edwards should see a rise in production across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.1).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, struggling to get to the foul line.

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