Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 21.7 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 34.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (51.5%).
Anthony Edwards has successfully made 6.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (98th percentile).
The 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
On the road, the Trail Blazers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).