Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has scored 33.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's scored overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 35.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 48.9% field goal percentage rates 8th-highest in the league this year.
When playing on the road, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards has successfully made an impressive 82.8% of his free throw attempts this season, a big improvement over his 73.7 rate last season.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 shots made from the field per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.