Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 15, 2024

Updated Feb 16, 2024 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has notched 32.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's notched overall this season.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on shot attempts from the field (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, designating this as a favorable matchup.
While at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The slowest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves will likely see a decline in opportunities today from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance for all stats.