Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 97th percentile for shots from the field, putting up 19.4 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards slots into the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 6.5 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.4 minutes per game this year.
In terms of offense, the Timberwolves's outstanding 49.2% field goal percentage comes in as the 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (26th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making this a good matchup.

Favors Under

The 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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