Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards ranks in the 96th percentile for shots while playing on the road, posting 18.8 per game this year.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 33.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a good one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 95th percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.2 fouls per game on the road this year.
In regard to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's poor 12.0 made threes per game settles in as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
The 9th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards figures to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

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