Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 24.4 shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.0 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Anthony Edwards has sunk 3.5 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Lakers are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.3).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game this year when the Lakers are the visiting squad (11th-least in the NBA).

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