Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has averaged 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 21.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a measly 26.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games away from home (4th-least in the league).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while at home.