Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has averaged 5.1 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 92nd percentile.
Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards places in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.8 minutes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 8.9 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards ranks in the 97th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.2 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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