Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has posted 3.7 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's leaders by this metric recently: 86th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 93rd percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production across the board.

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