Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has put up 5.0 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's best by this metric in recent games: 90th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 35.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year playing at home.
The Rockets have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year when playing on the road (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year with the home court advantage (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

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