Anthony Davis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has averaged 9.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.9 minutes per game this year.
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis stands to suffer a reduction in production across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

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