Anthony Davis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 8:13 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has averaged 3.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Anthony Davis has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Rockets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production across the board.