Anthony Davis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has totaled 9.1 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 100th percentile.
Anthony Davis has been on the court for 36.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Lakers have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
Anthony Davis ought to see a rise in performance in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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